Bitcoin drops to $82,000 on US data, and inflation fear is blamed

Bitcoin’s reclaim of the $84,000 support zone now hinges on Treasury yields, fresh inflation data, and stronger ETF demand.

• Bitcoin experienced a drop to $82,000, influenced by US economic data and inflation fears.
• The cryptocurrency's recovery hinges on Treasury yields, upcoming inflation data, and renewed demand from Bitcoin ETFs.
• Mixed economic signals, including easing job openings but rising consumer concerns about inflation and interest rates, create uncertainty for Bitcoin's price trajectory.

Topics: Market cycles macro sensitivity, Public market access, Yield performance, Interest rate sensitivity, Bitcoin etf, Treasury bond yields

Tags: #bitcoin #inflation #treasuryyields #etfdemand #usdata #consumerconfidence #jobopenings #interestrates #priceaction

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Treasuries Stabilize After Selloff, Stocks Decline: Markets Wrap

• Treasury yields stabilized after a significant selloff driven by rising oil prices and expectations of further Federal Reserve rate hikes.
• Asian stocks declined, reflecting concerns over higher borrowing costs impacting economic growth and corporate earnings.
• Market participants are closely watching upcoming US economic data for signs of resilience that could support continued Fed tightening.

Topics: Asset types, Market cycles macro sensitivity, Legal regulatory, Financial instruments, Interest rate sensitivity, Securities law classification

Tags: #treasuries #yields #oilprices #federalreserve #interestrates #inflation #stocks #asianmarkets #governmentdebt #corporateearnings

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Monday open indicative forex prices, September 28, 2026

As is usual for a Monday morning, market liquidity is very thin until it improves as more Asian centres come online ... prices are liable to swing around, so…

• The article discusses the opening of forex markets on September 28, 2026, noting thin liquidity and potential price swings due to geopolitical events like the US-Iran situation.
• Key financial indicators such as Brent crude prices and U.S. Treasury yields are at critical junctures, influenced by diplomatic efforts and potential trade policies.
• While major indices like the Nasdaq show resilience, broader market sentiment is cautious due to rising interest rates and geopolitical uncertainties, with a mention of banks exploring tokenized deposits.

Topics: Public debt, Jurisdictions, Market cycles macro sensitivity, Tokenized us treasuries, Cross jurisdictional policy, Interest rate sensitivity, Market volatility liquidity

Tags: #forex #treasuryyields #oilprices #usirandiplomacy #tokenizeddeposits #marketliquidity #interestrates #brentcrude #nasdaq

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Mizuho resalta dos acciones con potencial tras el repunte de los bonos del Tesoro

Mizuho destaca dos REIT con dividendos superiores al 4% que podrían beneficiarse pese al repunte de los bonos del Tesoro.

• Mizuho identifies two single-family rental REITs, American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) and Invitation Homes (INVH), as having potential despite rising Treasury yields.
• These REITs offer attractive dividend yields (above 4%) and are supported by favorable demographics, rising mortgage costs, and potential regulatory tailwinds.
• Despite macroeconomic headwinds, their strong occupancy rates and share buybacks position them favorably for investors seeking income.

Topics: Asset types, Market cycles macro sensitivity, Yield performance, Real assets, Interest rate sensitivity, Treasury bond yields, Private credit high yield

Tags: #mizuho #reits #treasurybonds #dividends #americanhomes4rent #invitationhomes #realestate #interestrates #inflation

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Budget 2026: The two big calls Chancellor John Healey has to make

He must consider the longevity of Iran war economic pressures and how to sustain modest optimism, writes the BBC's Faisal Islam.

• Chancellor John Healey faces critical decisions for the upcoming Budget 2026, balancing economic pressures from the Iran War with the need to sustain optimism.
• Key challenges include managing volatile oil prices and government bond yields, with forecasts potentially impacted by the war's uncertain duration.
• The Budget must address funding for defense and social care while navigating potential shifts in productivity figures and government borrowing forecasts.

Topics: Public debt, Market cycles macro sensitivity, Legal regulatory, Tokenized us treasuries, Interest rate sensitivity, Enforcement actions litigation

Tags: #johnhealey #budget2026 #iranwar #economicpressures #inflation #interestrates #governmentbonds #oilprice #consumerconfidence #productivity

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Bitcoin survives a 5.2% Treasury shock as traders slash $1.7 billion in leverage

Bitcoin has held near $84,000 even as US borrowing costs hit multi-decade highs and $1.7 billion of derivatives exposure disappears.

• Bitcoin has shown resilience, holding near $84,000 despite a significant shock in US Treasury yields reaching multi-decade highs.
• Traders have reduced substantial leverage, with $1.7 billion in derivatives exposure disappearing, indicating a deleveraging event without a proportional price collapse.
• Upcoming economic data, including PCE inflation and employment reports, will be crucial in determining if Bitcoin can continue to resist rising long-term yields.

Topics: Market cycles macro sensitivity, Public debt, Blockchain usage, Interest rate sensitivity, Tokenized us treasuries, Ethereum evm l 1 s

Tags: #bitcoin #treasuryyields #leverage #derivatives #macroeconomicshock #usbonds #interestrates #cryptomarket #pceinflation #employmentreport

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Boom or bust? The case for and against panicking about 5% yields | Fortune

The bond market is flashing a warning, but stocks aren’t listening.

• The 10-year Treasury yield has reached its highest level since 2007, causing uncertainty in the market about whether this signals economic boom or distress.
• Optimists attribute rising yields to a strong economy, particularly driven by AI investments, while pessimists worry about increasing government debt and geopolitical risks impacting U.S. debt demand.
• The article highlights the split in expert opinion and the potential impact of these rising yields on borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, as well as on the stock market.

Topics: Asset types, Market cycles macro sensitivity, Public debt, Financial instruments, Interest rate sensitivity, Tokenized us treasuries

Tags: #10yeartreasuryyield #federalreserve #interestrates #bondmarket #economicgrowth #inflation #usdebt #aispending #governmentdeficit #termpremium

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Inside Reuters' calculation of Australia's housing market ripple effects

For most Australian homeowners, the cost of the country's sharpest housing downturn in years has been the modest fall in property values since interest rates began rising in February.

• Reuters analyzed the ripple effects of Australia's housing market downturn on businesses dependent on property turnover.
• The analysis calculated the typical commercial spending associated with a home sale, including agent commissions, moving expenses, and purchases of furniture and appliances.
• The study excluded government entities and banks, focusing on the direct economic impact on service providers and retailers, and adjusted for owner-occupier vs. investor splits and the likelihood of specific expenses.

Topics: Asset types, Scalability, Market cycles macro sensitivity, Real assets, Market depth liquidity, Market volatility liquidity

Tags: #australianhousingmarket #propertyvalues #interestrates #housingdownturn #realestateagents #economicimpact #stampduty #medianhomeprice #owneroccupiers #investors

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History shows financial calamities occur when rates rise rapidly like this: 'Something always breaks'

The 10-year Treasury note yield is spiking to levels not seen in years, and that may be a bad omen for financial markets.

• Rapid increases in the 10-year Treasury yield historically precede financial calamities, with 'something always breaking' during such periods.
• The current rapid rise in yields is a concern for Wall Street, potentially exposing vulnerabilities in markets like regional banks and private credit.
• Analysts advise caution, viewing the current rate rise as secular and a potential precursor to market disruptions, similar to past crises.

Topics: Market cycles macro sensitivity, Public debt, Risk default, Interest rate sensitivity, Tokenized us treasuries, Credit counterparty risk

Tags: #treasuryyield #interestrates #financialcalamity #marketdisruption #riskassets #regionalbanks #privatecredit #secularraterise #bondmarket

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Wall Street Bets on Fed Rate Hike: Here's What It Means for Bitcoin, Bonds and Trump

Nearly every major bank now expects the Fed to raise rates for the first time in three years. Markets have mostly priced it in, but the political fallout could run deeper than one hike.

• The Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise interest rates for the first time in three years due to persistent inflation, with markets pricing in a near-certain quarter-point hike.
• Higher rates are anticipated to negatively impact assets like Bitcoin by increasing borrowing costs and making safer government bonds more attractive, though the market's reaction will depend on future rate hike expectations.
• The decision comes amidst political pressure from President Trump for lower rates and before the midterm elections, with significant attention on Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's statements regarding future monetary policy.

Topics: Market cycles macro sensitivity, Public debt, Institutional adoption, Interest rate sensitivity, Tokenized us treasuries, Asset manager initiatives

Tags: #fedratehike #bitcoin #bonds #interestrates #inflation #treasuryyields #federalreserve #fedwatchtool #cpi #kevinwarsh

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Mallers: Bitcoin And AI Could Give Humans Back Their Time

Speaking to Bitcoin Magazine TV on Monday, Strike's CEO said that hard money could reward humans for their hard work again.

• Strike CEO Jack Mallers argues that Bitcoin and AI can help humans reclaim their time by providing 'hard money' that rewards effort, unlike 'bad money' which erodes it.
• Mallers cited the Wright brothers' invention during the gold standard era as an example of innovation fostered by sound money, contrasting it with the current unsustainable U.S. debt levels and inflationary pressures.
• The article touches on Bitcoin's recent price surge, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's bond buyback actions, and the ongoing debate around inflation, interest rates, and the affordability crisis.

Topics: Asset types, Blockchain usage, Market cycles macro sensitivity, Financial instruments, Ethereum evm l 1 s, Interest rate sensitivity, Inflation recession impact

Tags: #bitcoin #ai #hardmoney #timeandenergy #strikeceo #jackmallers #goldstandard #usdebt #inflation #interestrates

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Bitcoin enfrenta una semana decisiva ante la reunión del FOMC

La reunión del FOMC será clave para Bitcoin, mientras el mercado anticipa posibles cambios en las tasas de interés.

• Bitcoin faces a critical week as the FOMC meeting approaches, with a high probability of an interest rate hike impacting its price.
• Geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices are increasing inflationary pressures, potentially leading the Fed to maintain or increase restrictive monetary policy.
• A restrictive Fed stance could lead to increased selling pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin, favoring a correction or a prolonged sideways trend unless it can reclaim key resistance levels.

Topics: Market cycles macro sensitivity, Public debt, Yield performance, Interest rate sensitivity, Tokenized us treasuries, Treasury bond yields

Tags: #bitcoin #fomc #interestrates #federalreserve #inflation #oilprices #geopolitics #treasurybonds #cryptomarket #volatility

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Bitcoin's 'Unusual Mix': Report

A new CoinShares report said bitcoin's price could be hurt in the short-term but benefit in the long-term.

• A CoinShares report suggests Bitcoin faces short-term headwinds due to higher-than-expected inflation and potential Fed tightening, possibly capping its price below $80,000.
• However, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin may improve if the U.S. Treasury's bond buyback program fails to lower long-term yields, potentially fueling a 'debasement trade' narrative.
• This unusual policy mix, driven by inflation data and Treasury actions, could present a significant medium-term catalyst for Bitcoin, especially if substantial intervention is required.

Topics: Asset types, Market cycles macro sensitivity, Public debt, Financial instruments, Interest rate sensitivity, Tokenized us treasuries

Tags: #bitcoin #coinshares #inflation #federalreserve #interestrates #ustreasury #bondbuyback #debasementtrade #gold #yields

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Japan’s GPIF May Sell $62 Billion of Treasuries, Santander Says

• Japan's GPIF may sell up to $62 billion of US Treasuries due to a potential shift towards domestic debt, driven by rising Japanese yields and a weakening yen.
• Analysts at Santander suggest the GPIF has flexibility within its current asset allocation policy to reduce foreign bond holdings without a formal review.
• This potential divestment highlights a broader shift in Japanese investment strategy, moving away from overseas markets towards domestic assets as interest rates rise.

Topics: Asset types, Jurisdictions, Market cycles macro sensitivity, Financial instruments, Established hubs, Interest rate sensitivity, Inflation recession impact

Tags: #gpif #ustreasuries #assetallocation #japan #santander #foreignbonds #yen #bankofjapan #interestrates #yield

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Jim Cramer says this is the key force driving stocks right now

CNBC's Jim Cramer said the 30-year Treasury yield is a key force driving stocks as it climbs to roughly 5.3%.

• Jim Cramer identifies the 30-year Treasury yield as a primary driver of stock market movements, currently impacting equities as it approaches 5.3%.
• Higher long-term yields make bonds more attractive than stocks, increase corporate borrowing expenses, and pose a risk to economic expansion.
• The article uses Delta Air Lines as an example to illustrate how rising Treasury yields, coupled with high oil prices, can negatively affect airline stocks and broader economic sentiment.

Topics: Asset types, Market cycles macro sensitivity, Financial instruments, Interest rate sensitivity, Inflation recession impact

Tags: #jimcramer #30yeartreasuryyield #stocks #interestrates #inflation #corporateborrowingcosts #economicgrowth #deltaairlines #oilprices

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Vietnam’s Mortgage Rate Surge Putting Homeownership Out of Reach

Mortgage rates in Vietnam have climbed steeply, with average charges now around 12% to 14% and floating rates reaching as high as 15% to 16%. The country's push to build infrastructure is putting strain on banks, which are facing a funding shortfall, and the central bank has urged lenders to rein in loans to the property sector. The combination of higher borrowing costs and limited affordable housing is weighing on sales, which were down 36% in the second quarter from a year earlier, and putting pressure on developers' cash flow and inventories.

• Mortgage rates in Vietnam have surged to 12-16%, making homeownership increasingly unaffordable for many citizens.
• This surge is driven by banks facing funding shortfalls due to infrastructure investment demands, leading the central bank to curb property lending.
• The combination of high rates, limited affordable housing, and developer cash flow issues has led to a significant drop in sales and poses risks to financial stability.

Topics: Asset types, Scalability, Market cycles macro sensitivity, Real assets, Market depth liquidity, Interest rate sensitivity

Tags: #vietnam #mortgagerates #realestate #homeownership #interestrates #housingaffordability #developers #centralbank #creditgrowth #fundingshortfall

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Flash 24/7 | Wall Street acelera, Bitcoin rebota con fuerza y todas las miradas apuntan al empleo

Wall Street sube y el Bitcoin rebota casi 6% tras la Fed y señales de desescalada con Irán; oro y petróleo siguen firmes. El viernes, el empleo.

• Wall Street experienced significant gains, driven by dovish signals from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates.
• Bitcoin saw a strong rebound, surpassing $81,700, influenced by both the Fed's comments and potential de-escalation in geopolitical tensions with Iran.
• Despite the optimism in equities and Bitcoin, gold and oil prices remained firm, suggesting investors are maintaining some risk hedges ahead of the crucial US employment report.

Topics: Asset types, Market cycles macro sensitivity, Stablecoins digital cash, Interest rate sensitivity, Market volatility liquidity

Tags: #bitcoin #wallstreet #fed #interestrates #inflation #employmentreport #gold #oil #riskappetite #geopolitics

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AMD Tokenized Shares Face Breakdown, Rebound Risk

• AMD's tokenized equity is experiencing a technical breakdown, trading below key moving averages, indicating bearish short-term sentiment.
• Despite bearish price action, derivatives data suggests active accumulation and a higher probability of a rebound, with smart money maintaining a constructive stance.
• The article analyzes the technical setup, volume, derivatives positioning, and macro factors (AI hardware, interest rates) influencing AMD's tokenized shares, presenting scenarios for the next 7-30 days.

Topics: Asset types, Institutional adoption, Public market, Alternative assets, Onboarding prime brokerage, Stock equity tokenization

Tags: #amdtokenizedshares #technicalanalysis #movingaverages #derivativesdata #takerbuysellratio #longshortratio #aiaccelerators #interestrates #binance #bollingerbands

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Bessent Ramps Up Pressure on BOJ to Raise Interest Rates Further

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent ramped up pressure on Japan to take its next steps on policy amid renewed weakness in the yen and rising bond yields. Bessent met with Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama and reportedly told her and Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda that Japan's next step should be to raise interest rates. Katayama denied discussing monetary policy with Bessent, saying decisions on monetary policy are entrusted to the Bank of Japan and instead focused on the joint Japan-US intervention in the currency market.

• US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is pressuring Japan to raise interest rates due to yen weakness and rising bond yields.
• Japanese officials, including Finance Minister Katayama, deny discussing monetary policy with Bessent, emphasizing the Bank of Japan's autonomy.
• The article highlights the increasing focus on Japanese monetary policy by the US and the market's expectation of a potential rate hike in September.

Topics: Jurisdictions, Public debt, Market cycles macro sensitivity, Established hubs, Tokenized us treasuries, Interest rate sensitivity

Tags: #scottbessent #bankofjapan #interestrates #yen #bondyields #monetarypolicy #currencyintervention #japanesefinanceminister #kazuoueda #ustreasury

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Solana falls 3.4%, faces resistance at $109 as market correction continues

Solana (SOL) recently breached the $100 mark, following a prolonged period of sideways movement. The asset climbed alongside a broader rally led by Bitcoin | Bitget crypto news!

• Solana (SOL) is experiencing a market correction, facing resistance at $109 after a recent rally driven by perceived positive news regarding US government crypto purchases and Treasury buybacks.
• However, the market outlook is challenged by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike due to persistent inflation concerns, which could negatively impact cryptocurrencies.
• The article also highlights the growing trend of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) and Web3 adoption as investors seek diversification amidst market volatility and evolving traditional finance landscapes.

Topics: Blockchain usage, Institutional adoption, Integration with defi, Non evm chains, Asset manager initiatives, Rwa collateral lending

Tags: #solana #btc #tokenizedrealworldassets #rwa #federalreserve #interestrates #liquidity #web3 #marketcorrection #ustreasury

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