Sunday, July 26, 2026

Open Source: How Middle Powers Can Build Influence in the Age of AI

Open Source: How Middle Powers Can Build Influence in the Age of AI

Tony Blair Institute for Global Change (Guy Ward-Jackson, Keegan McBride, Elizabeth Seger, Laura Gilbert, Ott Velsberg, Jakob Mökander) - 02/2026

- The bulk of AI's economic and strategic value will be captured downstream through deployment, adaptation, and integration, making open source strategically important for nations outside the US and China. - Middle powers should focus on building full-stack open-source ecosystems rather than attempting to compete in frontier large language model (LLM) development, which remains highly concentrated. - An effective open-source strategy must be ecosystem-centric, leveraging openness across...

Read the full report on Substack

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