Saturday, July 18, 2026

Why analyst expects Bitcoin ETF will follow gold’s ‘triumph and pain’ pattern

Bitcoin ETF could follow gold's painful 'two step forward, one step back' pattern to a new record high, according to Bloomberg analyst

  • Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas predicts Bitcoin ETFs will eventually reach new record highs, drawing parallels to the 'triumph and pain' pattern observed in gold ETFs.
  • Despite recent outflows and price drops, Bitcoin ETFs show resilience with long-term holders maintaining conviction, though a shift to net selling remains a risk.
  • Geopolitical escalations and rising oil prices introduce uncertainty, potentially capping Bitcoin's upside and impacting its role as a safe-haven asset.

Topics: Institutional adoption, Public market access, Market cycles macro sensitivity, Asset manager initiatives, Bitcoin etf, Interest rate sensitivity

Tags: #bitcoinetf #goldetf #ericbalchunas #institutionaldemand #drawdowns #investorpatience #longtermholders #etfoutflows #safehavens #oilprices

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